You’d think the two topics wouldn’t be related but you’d be wrong.
noun derogatory – also “puppy mill”
“an establishment that breeds puppies for sale, typically on an intensive basis and in conditions regarded as inhumane.”
How on Earth could a puppy farm be related to software developers? Everyone loves puppies and everyone loves new software developers. Each are enthusiastic, energetic and fun to be around.
The ASPCA indicates that there are an estimated 10,000 puppy farms in the U.S. today. A recent survey published on coursereport.com indicates that the “coding bootcamp” market is growing by a factor of about 3 x per year. Their estimate of the average tuition price for these coder factories—if you will—is about $10k for the nation. The high-end cost of these camps is $20k, however.
Like those puppy farms, these code bootcamp businesses are wooing people from a variety of career fields with the promise of a job in the software development industry. As someone who’s been a long-time programmer I could suggest that the software development industry as we knew it crashed in the year 2000 and has not recovered yet. The reason? It crashed because the nation suddenly outsourced work overseas; suddenly, there were too many coders for the number of available jobs.
“…the software development industry as we knew it crashed in the year 2000 and has not recovered yet.”
And yet, we have monied corporations like Google who seem to be wooing children with programs like Made w/Code. And then there’s Hour of Code which is targeted to everyone of all career fields. The latter indicates that they have over 160k events around the world they’ve sponsored and tens of millions of students.
I’ll be the first to admit it: puppies are awesome. But when too many puppies are bred they end up hating their lives, often ending up in cages or at the dog shelter.
“We can’t all be heroes, because somebody has to sit on the curb and applaud when they go by.”
~ Will Rogers
I suppose there’s some wisdom in that Will Roger’s statement but where do you draw the line? As an existing programmer I can’t suggest that someone else also can’t choose this as a career field. That would be a similar (faulty) argument from U.S. citizens whose ancestors migrated to the states and then they themselves are against immigration since the country’s now too populated.
As the number of programmers increases, the natural laws of supply and demand kick in. In the graphic below, think of the number of programmers to be the Supply, the green line and we’re seeing a rapid increase in that number. The red Demand line should then be rapidly going down in response which has at least two results: there aren’t enough jobs and the price for software development will dramatically be less.
So are these coder factories telling the truth to their students when they suggest that their certificate can land them a six-figure salary? No. The days of making $100k/year writing code are over thanks to the unending influx of new coders.
Possible solutions to the problem
- Give away a free puppy to every new coding academy graduate
- Kill all coders over the age of 24 across the planet
- Prevent companies from buying off-the-shelf software or from using open source
- Make Github pay-per-view
I don’t want all this to seem like I don’t like or appreciate new coders. I love coding and I wouldn’t deny anyone else the right to do so. But when I got my start there were literally no jobs programming so we did it merely for the fun of it.
So my advice to the new coder is: do it merely for the fun of it, don’t think that you’ll land a paying job. And when eventually someone sees you having so much fun at what you love doing naturally, they’ll finally offer you a job and you’ll get to code in such a way that they’ll effectively remove great amounts of that fun from the activity. But at least they’ll pay you for it.